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This article is part of a series that provides ongoing analysis of changes to Alex Roepers’ 13F portfolio on a quarterly basis. It is based on Roepers Regulatory Form 13F filed on 05/16/2022. Please visit our Alex Roepers Atlantic Investment Management portfolio monitoring article to get an idea of his investment philosophy and our Last update for fund movements during the fourth quarter of 2021.
This quarter, the value of Roepers’ 13F portfolio has grown from about $358 million to about $310 million. The number of holdings has increased from 10 to 11. The top three holdings represent approximately 46%, while the top five represent approximately 70% of 13F assets: Westrock Company, Huntsman Corp, Eastman Chemical, Univar Solutions and Timken.
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New issues:
Ralph Lauren (RL): RL is an 8.23% portfolio stake established this quarter at prices between ~$101 and ~$134 and the stock is currently trading at ~$106.
Sale of interests:
None.
Bet increase:
Timken Corporation (TKR): TKR represents approximately 10% of the portfolio position established last quarter at prices between ~$64 and ~$77. This quarter saw a one-third increase in stake at prices between ~$59 and ~$75. The stock is currently trading at $63.14.
Goodyear (GT) tires and rubber: GT represents approximately 9% of the portfolio position purchased in Q3 2021 at prices between ~$14.50 and ~$18.75. The last quarter saw a reduction of around 5%, while this quarter there was an increase of around 13%. The stock is currently trading at $13.69.
Lear Corp. (LEA): LEA represents approximately 8% of the portfolio position established in Q4 2020 at prices between ~$113 and ~$165 and the stock is currently trading at ~$141. There was a ~12% cut last quarter at prices between ~$146 and ~$188, while this quarter there was a slight increase of ~5%.
The bet decreases:
WestRock Co. (WRK): WRK is currently the largest 13F position with 14.55% of the portfolio. It was built in Q4 2019 at prices between $33.50 and $43.25. The first quarter of 2020 saw a sale of around 17% while the following quarter saw a two-thirds increase at prices between $24 and $34. The fourth quarter of 2020 saw a reduction of around 10% while the following quarter there was an increase in participation of around 20% at prices between ~$41 and ~$54. The two quarters through Q3 2021 had seen around 22% selling at prices between ~$48 and ~$62. The stock is currently at $48.59. The last quarter saw an increase in participation of around 15%, while this quarter there was a similar reduction.
Huntersman Corp. (HUN): HUN is currently the second largest position with 13.46% of the portfolio. It was established in the first quarter of 2021 at prices between ~$25 and ~$29.50. Stake more than doubled in the following quarter at prices between ~$25 and ~$31.60. This quarter saw a reduction of around 36% at prices between ~$35 and ~$41. The stock is currently trading at $36.21.
Note: Huntsman is a frequently traded pick in the wallet. Details of the latest round trip follow: it was about 5% of the portfolio stake established in the second quarter of 2017 at prices between $23 and $27. The five quarters up to the second quarter of 2019 had seen a combined sale of around 50% at prices between $17.35 and $35.30. This was followed by another two-thirds selling the following quarter at prices between $18.25 and $23.50. The fourth quarter of 2019 saw the position nearly eliminated at prices between $21.50 and $25. The remaining stake was sold in the first half of 2020.
Eastman Chemical (EMN): EMN was a large holding established in Q4 2015 at prices between $65 and $74. The position wavered. Recent activity follows: H2 2019 and Q1 2020 had seen the position sold at prices between $38 and $83.90. It was rebuilt last quarter at prices between ~$101 and ~$121. There were ~25% sales this quarter at prices between ~$105 and ~$128. The stock is now at ~$111 and the stake is at 11.36% of the portfolio.
Univar Solutions (UNVR): The large (top five) ~11% portfolio stake in UNVR was established in Q2 2020 at prices between $9.60 and $18.15. The two quarters through Q1 2021 had seen a one-third increase in stake at prices between ~$16.50 and ~$22. This quarter saw around 45% selling at prices between ~$26.50 and ~$34. The stock is currently trading at $32.21.
Avnet, Inc. (AVT): AVT’s large ~10% stake was purchased in Q4 2020 at prices between ~$24.50 and ~$35.25. There was a roughly 30% stake increase in the next quarter at prices between ~$35 and ~$41.50. The last quarter saw an increase in participation of around 11%, while this quarter there was a reduction of around 17%. The stock is now at $48.96.
Nomadic Foods (NOMD): NOMD is a 1.31% position established over the past two quarters at prices between ~$24 and ~$29 and the stock is currently trading well below that range at $20.73. There was a roughly 25% reduction this quarter at prices between ~$20 and ~$27.
Note: Nomad Foods is back in the portfolio after a quarter of a gap. A similar stake was established in Q4 2020 at prices between ~$22.60 and ~$26.15. It was phased out the following quarter at prices between ~$27.50 and ~$31.50.
Maintained stable:
OI glass (OI), formerly Owens Illinois: OI is a very long-term issue. In 2008 the position was tiny and was built to 11.2 million shares in 2012 through regular buying. Recent activity follows: Q4 2020 saw around 45% selling at prices between ~$9.40 and ~$13. The two quarters up to Q2 2021 had seen around 75% more sold at prices between $11.50 and $19.30. The stock is currently trading at $16.68 and the stake is now low at 2.79% of the portfolio.
The spreadsheet below highlights changes to Roepers’ 13F stock holdings in Q1 2022:
Alex Roepers – Atlantic Investment Management Q1 2022 13F Report Q/Q Comparison (John Vincent (author))